How can private markets help investors meet their long-term financial goals?

Private markets have grown in popularity among institutional investors: Average allocations for US public pension plans rose from 17% in 2012 to 21% in 2019, according to Preqin data. A key reason for this increase is the view that the asset class can improve both absolute and risk-adjusted returns for investors, relative to traditional liquid portfolios.

Benefits of private markets in the context of financial planning

Historically, private markets have outperformed public markets by a significant margin. This additional return premium can enable greater wealth accumulation and wealth transfer opportunities, or support ongoing expenses. Illiquidity, complexity, and leverage are some of the contributors to this outperformance which we expect to persist in the coming years.

Private markets can also help investors focus on the long term. Private market funds are generally buy-and-hold investments with 10-year commitments (with two-year extensions possible). Typically, investors fulfill capital calls or investments occurring in years 1 to 5, and can start receiving back distributions in years 6 to 10. While investor capital is locked up during this time frame, the illiquid characteristics of private market investing is conducive to implementing strategic operational value creation, which illustrates a differentiated, active ownership approach to driving returns versus public investing.

Additionally, the illiquid nature of private markets prevents investors from selling out during market dislocations, while allowing managers to take advantage of attractive valuations in times of these dislocations. As such, private markets are particularly attractive for investors looking to participate in long-term secular trends in the economy, or match long-term liabilities.

۶Ƶ CIO 15-year forward return expectations

Incorporating private markets in the ۶Ƶ Wealth Way framework

The ۶Ƶ Wealth Way* framework is designed to help investors achieve their lifetime goals as well as preserve and grow their wealth over generations. It is therefore the individual investor’s objectives and circumstances that primarily dictate the appropriate asset allocation choices. This also applies when thinking about how much to allocate to private markets.

۶Ƶ Wealth Way

The Liquidity strategy is designed to meet short term needs, while insulating the investor from selling out assets during periods of market volatility, locking in otherwise-temporary losses.

The Longevity strategy is designed to meet lifetime goals.

The Legacy strategy represents an investor’s excess resources—wealth that goes beyond what is needed to meet one generation’s lifetime objectives. This strategy focuses on wealth maximization, and on effectively passing this wealth across generations and to charity.

Investors are often averse to private markets given their preference for having liquid assets on hand, even though they typically may not have a purpose or timeline for using that liquidity. However, investors also forget that they “pay” for high liquidity, given the opportunity cost of investing in public markets. When we look at how much to allocate to private markets through the lens of the ۶Ƶ Wealth Way framework, investors may discover that they can tolerate higher proportions of private market assets as a percentage of their overall wealth, than if they took an approach of choosing an asset allocation that is agnostic of their goals, time horizon and liquidity needs.

Illiquid assets such as private markets can be incorporated in both the Longevity and Legacy strategies depending on investor circumstances, while the Liquidity strategy can help manage any risks associated with illiquidity.

Longevity strategy

Including private markets in the Longevity strategy to meet lifetime goals

Private markets in a Longevity strategy can provide additional returns, which can help keep portfolios from being depleted by spending, allowing investors to spend more during the course of their lifetime, or even retire earlier. A higher expected return in the Longevity strategy could also give investors the opportunity to fund lifetime expenses with slightly less capital, allowing them to set aside more excess capital for the next generation or for philanthropy in the Legacy strategy.

Exactly how much private market assets should be allocated to the Longevity strategy may change over time and will differ based on investors’ unique circumstances. Our general guidance is that allocating up to 20% to less liquid assets should allow investors to benefit from the asset class’s return properties without compromising too much on portfolio diversification; give them the ability to react to unforeseen events; and allow for medium-term goals to be met.

Investors with higher risk tolerance, longer investment time horizon, higher spending flexibility, or the ability to tap into external liquidity resources (such as credit lines) may accommodate more illiquid allocations.

Investors who are still working may have several years or even decades before they tap into the bulk of their Longevity strategy assets, providing a sufficiently long time horizon to accommodate more illiquidity. In this case, investors may want to consider an allocation toward the higher end of 0–20%. At the same time, it’s important to have enough assets to build out a sufficiently diversified private market portfolio, avoiding the risk of asset class overconcentration.

Investors with a large amount of spending in the next 10 to 12 years—for example, a home purchase—should take this into consideration when determining private market allocations. First, it’s important to ensure that these earmarked assets are accessible during that time horizon. Second, it’s important to ensure that there are enough liquid assets to meet spending objectives while still maintaining a balanced portfolio that’s not overly concentrated in illiquid assets.

The Longevity strategy is designed to meet lifetime goals through both growth and income, and so we expect it to be gradually depleted throughout retirement. With this in mind, we generally recommend that investors approaching retirement consider transitioning the Longevity strategy toward a more liquid investment portfolio. This can include a mix shift within their private market portfolios toward semi-liquid fund structures or managers focused on core private real estate, private credit, and secondary market strategies. These strategies can provide regular distributions, shorter J-curves (the pattern of cash outflows and inflows associated with private market investing), or lower risk versus traditional private equity mandates.

Importantly, it’s likely that overall allocations to private market holdings will actually continue to increase as investors go deeper into retirement—but the bulk of these investments may reside in the Legacy strategy, where their illiquidity is less of a risk.

Probability of running into liquidity issues depending on private equity allocation

Legacy strategy

Private markets and multigenerational investing with the Legacy strategy

Once capital requirements and longevity goal planning are set, investors may start considering wealth beyond their lifetime. The Legacy strategy is for assets earmarked for future generations or philanthropic endeavors, with the aim of maximizing the value of the transferred wealth.

With the longer time frame afforded and the lower emphasis on day-to-day volatility, investors are more flexible in how to allocate toward Legacy strategy portfolios.

Legacy strategy portfolios follow many of the same attributes of endowment funds, including perpetual time horizon, high tolerance for drawdowns, and the need to preserve the inflation-adjusted value of assets. In addition, endowment funds typically invest a large portion of their portfolios to private markets and real assets. In our research on endowment-style portfolios, our standard guidance for the Legacy strategy is to allocate up to 40% to private markets.

It is important that succession planning is also taken into consideration when building private market allocations in Legacy strategy portfolios. Investors may, for example, wish to give away part of their Legacy strategy portfolio during their lifetime, or consider the liquidity preferences and goals of the next beneficial owner, and adjust private market allocations accordingly.

Investors may also have different goals for their Legacy strategy portfolio. While many may focus on wealth accumulation for the next generation, others may seek yield to fund ongoing payouts for charitable or other purposes (e.g., foundations). Depending on their primary objective, investors may tilt their private market allocation toward more growth-oriented strategies such as private equity, or more income-focused strategies such as private debt, core private real estate, and core infrastructure. Importantly, investors requiring high regular cash flows should keep in mind that in periods of severe market stress, they may require external income sources. Sizing the Liquidity strategy accordingly can help minimize shortfall risks.

After carefully planning their Longevity strategy portfolio to avoid jeopardizing their financial security, investors are well advised to start building a Legacy strategy portfolio as early as possible. Once proper financial planning has been established, investors may find that they can consider higher allocation toward illiquid assets in their Legacy strategy, and relative to their overall wealth, than previously thought.

Average US endowments and foundation allocations

What next?

In a changing investment landscape, the need to plan, and plan effectively, is as important as ever. Taking action now and aligning portfolios with personal and family objectives is critical. Creating plans that clearly outline short-, medium-, and long-term objectives can help investors create portfolios that improve their chances of achieving their goals.

The ۶Ƶ Wealth Way segments portfolios into distinct time horizons, enabling investors to incorporate potentially higher returning illiquid assets, such as private markets, that can help achieve higher growth or income levels. As exemplified by institutional and family office investors, we believe that incorporating private markets into a robust long-term plan can better position investors for ongoing success.

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