
As economic pressures mount and global competition intensifies, calls for deregulation in Europe have been amplified. Massimiliano Castelli and Lucy Thomas argue that policymakers should focus on regulatory outcomes, and not expect deregulation to be a panacea.
Business leaders, policymakers and investors argue that Europe鈥檚 heavy regulatory environment is stifling growth, dampening innovation and reducing European competitiveness on the world stage.
Adding fuel to the deregulatory flames are many efforts already well underway in many parts of the world. Indeed, the US has outperformed dramatically over recent decades both in terms of innovation and growth; and, barring any geopolitical mishaps (which is admittedly a big caveat in the current climate), it appears to be on a path to continue perform well under the new administration.
The question is therefore not whether Europe should deregulate, but how. After all, less regulation does not always result in a better regulatory environment. Further clouding matters is the muddied meaning of the word itself. Regulation has become synonymous with rules. But its meaning should be more expansive; some rules are essential, while others are cumbersome and no longer needed. And often, thoughtfully crafted incentives and guidelines can be far more effective.
Too much? A stifling burden
Too much? A stifling burden
As the old saying goes, the US innovates, China imitates and Europe鈥 regulates. The European Union (EU) is said to be lagging its peers in the fourth industrial revolution.1
Excessive regulation is often blamed, acting as a significant barrier to innovation and competitiveness.
The numbers speak for themselves; between 2019 and 2024, the EU adopted over 13,000 legislative acts1, compared to just 3,500 in the US at the federal level. One area brought up as particularly burdensome is sustainability reporting, where most EU-based companies are required to follow several overlapping rules2, each with its own demands. SMEs in the EU are said to spend over 10% of costs and resources on regulatory compliance.3 Many suppliers have had to add three full-time employees to navigate data gathering requirements from the onslaught of compliance regulation.4 As a result, over two thirds of EU companies therefore view regulation as a barrier to long term investment (32% view it as a major barrier, 34% as a minor barrier).5 In comparison, the former number is only 21% in the US.6
Deregulation efforts going on elsewhere have arguably heightened the sense of unease and need for action.
Since the start of his second administration, US President Donald Trump has committed to cutting 鈥渟enseless red tape.鈥7 One aspect of this was outlined in executive order (EO) 14192 鈥淯nleashing Prosperity Through Deregulation鈥. It aims to eliminate at least ten regulations for every new one introduced.8 Moreover, Trump established the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which aims to promote governmental efficiency and productivity. One clause of the EO explicitly asks to 鈥渄isplac[e] all prior EOs and regulations [鈥 that might serve as a barrier to providing USDS access to agency records.鈥9
The US is cutting environmental red tape and streamlining permitting processes for oil extraction, with President Trump encouraging oil majors to 鈥渄rill, baby, drill.鈥 Additionally, Mike Johnson, speaker of the House just announced plans to tackle former President Biden鈥檚 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) with something between 鈥渁 scalpel and a sledgehammer.鈥
China, meanwhile, takes mere months to approve and build their solar and wind projects. It recently reached its 2030 solar and wind targets six years early.10 Despite not explicitly cutting regulation, China has focused on efficiency gains and simplifying administrative procedures.11
Contrast that with the EU, whose combination of regional, national (27 countries with different laws) and European Commission-level regulation has left many companies in a quagmire. For instance, excessive permitting has halted renewable energy projects.12 Despite legislation requiring project permits to be granted within two years, a study by Ember shows that of 18 countries analyzed for onshore wind projects, the average permitting time exceeded the two-year mark in all cases, sometimes even up to five times.13 Something needs to change, that much is clear.
Too little? A recipe for chaos
Too little? A recipe for chaos
China鈥檚 rapid progress on renewables production and Trump鈥檚 ruthless anti-climate agenda combined should provide Europe with, not only lessons in efficiency, but also an opportunity gap to lead a unified and competitive green agenda. And despite the apparent tectonic deregulatory shifts, there is something to be said for consistent regulation, especially in key sectors like energy,聽artificial intelligence (AI) and financials. History, and indeed current markets, have shown clear the consequences of too little regulation.
The 2008 financial crisis is widely seen as a systemic failure resulting from a lack of financial oversight.
Deregulation allowed risky practices to flourish,
ultimately contributing to a housing bubble that burst with devastating consequences. The subsequent Eurozone debt crisis was also partially caused by inadequate financial oversight, allowing for unsustainable fiscal policies.
And now? Trump鈥檚 policies are creating evermore uncertainty and instability. While US deregulation efforts are expected to spur more innovation and growth, the Trump administration is weakening the rule of law, disrupting institutions (including the Fed and judiciary), all while adopting lower transparency.
Criticism of the US鈥檚 now infamous DOGE鈥檚 lack of transparency and spreading of misinformation is at an all-time high.14 Some of DOGE鈥檚 actions have had significant consequences undermining the whole institution. The most recent of which involved Elon Musk, former 鈥榟ead鈥 of DOGE, stepping down. After a slew of legal challenges (including attempts to abolish the US agency for international development (USAID) and the US institute for Peace (USIP)) the department, which had promised USD 2 trillion in savings, has left behind only minimal cuts (only USD 61.5 billion of which were itemized)15, uncertainty and a weakened rule of law.
Furthermore, massive conflicts of interest exist with some of the US administration鈥檚 main agenda policies, for instance in crypto currency. Trump鈥檚 disruptive policies are altering this mix for the first time in many decades and there is no guarantee that deregulation alone can be positive for growth and innovation in the future.
The European Union鈥檚 (EU) recently published 鈥淎I Act鈥 is a useful example of dangers of light-touch regulation and the need for balance. Given the risks associated with taking a relaxed approach to artificial intelligence (AI), the act offers more than just compliance, promoting active engagement with the creation of new technologies. AI is so critical for our future that it must be done with care and we also believe any regulation should be structured to enable the key growth areas for Europe: energy and capital markets.
Just right: Balancing simplification, integration, investment
Just right: Balancing simplification, integration, investment
This delicate balancing act creates a unique opportunity for Europe to provide what others cannot: stability and rule of law. What may typically have been perceived a source of weakness, could become a strength in a more volatile and unstable world.
Deregulation in and of itself is not the key to unlocking Europe鈥檚 competitiveness on the world stage. Instead, a combination of simplification, integration and investment is essential 鈥 with the hope of becoming a haven of stability for markets and investors in a world riddled with chaos and instability. We therefore favor the 鈥榓s much as necessary, as little as possible鈥 approach with a focus on outcomes over process.
Two recent landmark reports on the future of Europe have been shaping the direction of policy and offer useful guidance for improving competitiveness while maintaining important governance and protections.
In his report, Much More Than a Market, former Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta emphasizes the need to simplify the EU鈥檚 internal rules and bureaucratic machinery. Former European Central Bank President Mario Draghi's report,16 meanwhile, focused on Europe鈥檚 long-term economic model and set out a strategy based on three imperatives: closing the innovation gap with the US, making decarbonization more competitive, and securing Europe鈥檚 economic security autonomously.
Crucially though, both argue that any investment must be underpinned by deeper integration of Europe鈥檚 capital markets and industrial policies. The current siloed approach, with 27 different fiscal regimes and disparate regulation, is fundamentally incompatible with the scale and speed required to compete today.
Thankfully, Europe has already taken significant steps to lower the regulatory burden. The European Commission published their 鈥淏etter Regulation鈥 agenda, promoting simplification and efficiency when preparing new initiatives or evaluating legislation.17 Moreover, the 鈥淥mnibus Simplification Package鈥18 proposal aims to reduce the complexity of EU requirements and the administrative burden for all EU-based businesses 鈥 by 25% for all businesses and 35% for SMEs.
Europe has always needed a push; and this definitely appears to be one of those moments.
Simplification does not have to equal deregulation; it can mean smarter regulation
Without such a reform, European businesses will continue to face inefficiencies that their American and Chinese counterparts, operating in more unified regulatory environments, do not.
What 鈥榡ust right鈥 could mean for investors
What 鈥榡ust right鈥 could mean for investors
The investment implications of such grand and seismic policy changes cannot be underestimated. Indeed, we have already seen the direct market effects of Germany鈥檚 fiscal injection to help bolster European defense capabilities after Trump decided to rip up much of the international rules-based order a matter of days after taking office.
Take finance. Banks and insurers could, in theory, benefit from lighter reporting burdens and greater flexibility. A true capital markets union would also offer a once-in-a-generation alignment of European capital and policy 鈥 matching capital with region-wide investment opportunities and hopefully leading to a more diverse funding landscape that balances bank funding, corporate credit and direct lending. We would also expect to see a rise in pan-European M&A activity across sectors to consolidate the strengths of the union and increase competitiveness.
More streamlined environmental and safety regulations could help industrials and auto manufacturers. From an innovation point of view, a lighter touch or smarter approach to data, AI and digital markets could boost innovation and thereby, attract more capital.
It is also widely acknowledged that
high regulatory burdens tend to fall disproportionately on smaller companies.
Any simplification would therefore make their lives easier and should increase competitiveness and ecosystem health of small to medium enterprises (which make up 99% of EU businesses).19
Increases in both public and private investment in the region would likely see upgrades to key infrastructure. An acceleration of the Green Transition agenda would create opportunities in renewables and the impact of decarbonization efforts, commensurate with emissions intensity, must be properly mapped and monitored across industries and supply chains. Upgrades to telecom networks, power grids and data centers would create both public and private investment opportunities.
Ultimately, a unified, simplified, competitive Europe could attract more foreign investment (which is down to a striking 4% in 2023 from 36% in 201920, due in-part to regulatory burdens) and unlock a host of opportunities. As investors though, it is our responsibility to stay abreast of any policy and regulatory change in order to assess any material risks that arise from such change.

The Red Thread: Europe Edition
A crossroads
A crossroads
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